DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 12, 2023 at 5pm UK

ERDGAS Sportpark

Hallescher
0 - 1
Greuther Furth

Casar (17'), Deniz (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sieb (18')
Jung (34'), Itter (36'), Michalski (42')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Hallescher and Greuther Furth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hallescher

Last Game: Hallescher 1-1 QPR
Saturday, July 16 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Greuther Furth

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Hallescher had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Hallescher win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.

Result
Hallescher	Draw	Greuther Furth
28.97% ( 0.06)	22.37% ( 0.02)	48.66% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 64.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.17% (

-0.06)

35.82% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.1% (

-0.07)

57.9% (

0.07)

Hallescher Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

0.01)

24.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41% (

0.01)

58.59% (

-0.01)

Greuther Furth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.87% (

-0.05)

15.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.3% (

-0.09)

43.69% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Hallescher 28.97%

Greuther Furth 48.66%

Draw 22.37%

Hallescher	Draw	Greuther Furth
2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.97%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.37%	1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.66%