Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.