Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.