Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.

Result
Nuremberg	Draw	Magdeburg
44.65% ( 0.27)	23.62% ( 0.16)	31.73% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 61.39% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.64% (

-0.94)

40.36% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.26% (

-0.98)

62.73% (

0.97)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

-0.27)

18.38% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

-0.46)

49.52% (

0.46)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

-0.71)

24.78% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

-1)

59.35% (

Score Analysis

Nuremberg 44.65%

Magdeburg 31.73%

Draw 23.62%

Nuremberg	Draw	Magdeburg
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.59% Total : 44.65%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.73%