Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.