2.Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Timo Becker 44' goal
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 71' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Schnellbacher 70'
  • yellowcard Paul Stock 90'+1'

Holstein Kiel vs Elversberg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 12.00pm
Karlsruher 0 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Steven Skrzybski

Elversberg

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm
Elversberg 1 - 1 Greuther Furth
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Luca Schnellbacher

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.36%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Holstein Kiel 40.06% (-2.49)
Draw 23.13% (+0.12)
Elversberg 36.81% (+2.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.77% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.43% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 36.56% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 41.28% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 58.72% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 23.18% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 76.82% (+0.14)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 81.23% (-1.12)
Under 0.5 18.77% (+1.12)
Over 1.5 49.83% (-1.91)
Under 1.5 50.17% (+1.90)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5 79.73% (+1.12)
Under 0.5 20.27% (-1.13)
Over 1.5 47.38% (+1.76)
Under 1.5 52.62% (-1.77)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 40.06%
Draw 23.12%
Elversberg 36.81%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.27)
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.36)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.33)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.32)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 40.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.78% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.12%
Elversberg
1-2 @ 8.11% (+0.32)
0-1 @ 6.07% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 4.85% (+0.36)
1-3 @ 4.31% (+0.31)
2-3 @ 3.61% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.58% (+0.27)
1-4 @ 1.72% (+0.18)
2-4 @ 1.44% (+0.11)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-87.98)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 36.81%