Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.36%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Elversberg
40.06% ( -2.49)	23.13% ( 0.12)	36.81% ( 2.36)

Both teams to score 64.77% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.43% (

-0.16)

36.56% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.28% (

-0.17)

58.72% (

0.16)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.23% (

-1.12)

18.77% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.83% (

-1.9)

50.17% (

1.9)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

1.12)

20.27% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38% (

1.76)

52.62% (

-1.76)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 40.06%

Elversberg 36.81%

Draw 23.12%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Elversberg
2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.58% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.81%