Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.