DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
3 - 3
Magdeburg

Heber (60' og.), Piccini (68' og.), Pichler (120+2')
Sander (23'), Holtby (112')
FT
(aet)
Bockhorn (3'), Krempicki (11'), Amaechi (93')
Bell Bell (28'), Heber (40'), Hoti (110')
Magdeburg win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between Holstein Kiel and Magdeburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Nuremberg
Sunday, October 29 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Magdeburg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-2 Elversberg
Sunday, October 29 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%).

Result
Holstein KielDrawMagdeburg
43.19% (-1.091 -1.09)22.35% (0.224 0.22)34.45% (0.867 0.87)
Both teams to score 67.27% (-0.56899999999999 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.89% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)33.11% (0.859 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.15% (-0.994 -0.99)54.85% (0.993 0.99)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.746 -0.75)16.06% (0.747 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.56% (-1.381 -1.38)45.44% (1.381 1.38)
Magdeburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.034000000000006 0.03)19.85% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.054000000000002 0.05)51.95% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 43.19%
    Magdeburg 34.45%
    Draw 22.35%
Holstein KielDrawMagdeburg
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.83% (0.117 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 43.19%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.198 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.19% (0.143 0.14)
3-3 @ 2.29% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.168 0.17)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.236 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.195 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.107 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 34.45%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Holstein Kiel
2-4
Magdeburg
Skrzybski (32'), Sander (50')
Holtby (90')
Schuler (2'), Hugonet (21'), Castaignos (68'), Arslan (90+1')
Heber (79'), Lawrence (90+4')
Feb 11, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 20
Holstein Kiel
2-3
Magdeburg
Erras (33'), Arp (54')
Elfadli (45'), Bockhorn (70'), Kwarteng (86')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Magdeburg
1-2
Holstein Kiel
Ceka (43')
Lawrence (34'), Cacutalua (67'), Reimann (84')
Lawrence (57')
Komenda (18'), Pichler (59' pen.)
Porath (29'), Arp (33'), Schulz (80'), Muhling (90+3')
Feb 10, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Magdeburg
1-1
Holstein Kiel
Turpitz (42')
Erdmann (45'), Hammann (82'), Turpitz (85')
Serra (5')
Benes (39'), Muhling (45'), Karazor (63')
Sep 3, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Magdeburg
Muhling (75'), Seydel (87')
Meffert (55'), Schmidt (90')
Turpitz (65')
Erdmann (82'), Ignjovski (90')