Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%).