Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Nuremberg
39.83% ( -0.77)	23.19% ( 0.06)	36.98% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 64.56% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.15% (

-0.24)

36.85% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.98% (

-0.26)

59.02% (

0.26)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.44)

18.99% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

-0.74)

50.54% (

0.73)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

0.24)

20.31% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

0.38)

52.69% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 39.83%

Nuremberg 36.98%

Draw 23.19%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Nuremberg
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.5% Total : 39.83%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.98%