2.Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Elias Saad 4' goal
  • Eric Smith 15' yellowcard
  • Johannes Eggestein 49' goal
  • Oladapo Afolayan 51' yellowcard
  • Johannes Eggestein 56' goal
  • Lars Ritzka 78' yellowcard
  • Jackson Irvine 87' yellowcard
  • Etienne Amenyido 90'+3' goal
  • Connor Metcalfe 90'+5' goal
  • goal Kanji Okunuki 24'
  • yellowcard Tim Handwerker 52'

St Pauli vs Nuremberg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin 1 - 2 St Pauli
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Nuremberg

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm
Nuremberg 1 - 0 Magdeburg
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Can Uzun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result

St Pauli 53.79% (-0.35)
Draw 23.13% (+0.14)
Nuremberg 23.08% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.66% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.38% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 44.62% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 33.01% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 66.98% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 16.8% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 83.19% (+0.26)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 83.47% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 16.53% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 53.72% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 46.28% (+0.46)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5 66.68% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.32% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.06% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.94% (+0.01)

Score analysis

St Pauli 53.79%
Draw 23.13%
Nuremberg 23.08%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 9.91% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 53.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.51% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.13%
Nuremberg
0-1 @ 6.05% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 5.99% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.33% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.19% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 23.08%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 29, 2023 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jakov Medic 33'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Jul 16, 2022 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Jackson Irvine 24' goal
  • Leart Paqarada 37' goal
  • Lukas Daschner 39' goal
  • Lukas Daschner 45' yellowcard
  • Jackson Irvine 62' yellowcard
  • Carlo Boukhalfa 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lino Tempelmann 36'
  • goal Kwadwo Duah 46'
  • yellowcard Fabian Nurnberger 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Asger Sorensen 64'
  • yellowcard Erik Wekesser 90'+1'
  • goal Enrico Valentini 90'+3'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Afeez Aremu 26' yellowcard
  • Finn Ole Becker 40' yellowcard
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 74' goal
  • goal Taylan Duman 90'+2'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Johannes Geis 21' goal
  • Manuel Schaffler 72' goal
  • goal Guido Burgstaller 3'
  • goal Leart Paqarada 10'
  • goal Adam Dzwigala 64'
  • yellowcard Guido Burgstaller 90'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 90'+3'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 14, 2021 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tom Krauss 36' yellowcard
  • Manuel Schaffler 69' yellowcard
  • Dennis Borkowski 78' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Ziereis 8'
  • yellowcard James Lawrence 16'
  • goal Guido Burgstaller 45'+1'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 65'
  • yellowcard Igor Matanovic 90'+4'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Oct 19, 2020 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rodrigo Zalazar Martinez 28' goal
  • Sebastian Ohlsson 31' yellowcard
  • Christopher Avevor 49' yellowcard
  • Finn Ole Becker 55' yellowcard
  • Daniel Buballa 78' goal
  • goal Manuel Schaffler 8'
  • yellowcard Tom Krauss 27'
  • yellowcard Asger Sorensen 33'
  • yellowcard Manuel Schaffler 44'
  • goal Johannes Geis 49'
  • yellowcard Felix Lohkemper 65'
  • yellowcard Pascal Kopke 76'
  • yellowcard Fabian Nurnberger 80'