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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Le Havre

PSG
3 - 3
Le Havre

Barcola (29'), Hakimi (78'), Ramos (90+5')
Zaire-Emery (74'), Mbappe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Operi (19'), Ayew (38'), Toure (61' pen.)
Sangante (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Metz
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 10.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
72.92% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)16.18% (0.127 0.13)10.9% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.75% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.86% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)35.14% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.86% (-0.161 -0.16)57.15% (0.167 0.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)8.35% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.93% (-0.241 -0.24)29.07% (0.246 0.25)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.55% (0.187 0.19)42.45% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (0.158 0.16)78.83% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 72.92%
    Le Havre 10.9%
    Draw 16.18%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
2-0 @ 10.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.62% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 72.92%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 3.23% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.9%

How you voted: PSG vs Le Havre

Paris Saint-Germain
90.6%
Draw
5.9%
Le Havre
3.5%
85
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 14
Le Havre
0-2
PSG

Operi (68'), Alioui (76')
Mbappe (23'), Vitinha (89')
Pereira (87')
Donnarumma (10')
Jul 21, 2023 4pm
Club Friendlies
PSG
2-0
Le Havre
Ekitike (53'), Mbappe (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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