Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.