Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Alaves |
| 37.46% | 28.38% ( | 34.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.28% ( | 59.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.97% ( | 80.03% ( |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( | 30.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( | 66.95% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( | 32.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( | 69.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 4-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.45% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.36% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.16% |