La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 32' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 37' goal
  • Nico Williams 54' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Benavidez 80'
  • yellowcard Abdel Abqar 86'
  • yellowcard Antonio Blanco 90'+2'

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2024 3.15pm
Las Palmas 0 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2024 1.00pm
Alaves 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 55.04% (+0.04)
Draw 24.99% (+0.02)
Alaves 19.96% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.83% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.46% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 55.54% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 23.29% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.71% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 10.29% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.71% (+0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 79.85% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 20.15% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 47.56% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.44% (+0.05)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 57.4% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 42.6% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 21.05% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 78.95% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 55.04%
Draw 24.99%
Alaves 19.96%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 13.75% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.01% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 8.59% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.99%
Alaves
0-1 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.96%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Jan 16, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Asier Villalibre 28' goal
  • Asier Villalibre 60' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Benavidez 71'
  • yellowcard Rafa Marin 90'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Kike 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 61' yellowcard
  • Abdel Abqar 78' yellowcard
  • goal Inaki Williams 18'
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 29'
  • yellowcard Yuri Berchiche 31'
  • goal Oihan Sancet 76'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Florian Lejeune 26' yellowcard
  • Ruben Duarte 61' yellowcard
La Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Unai Vencedor 38' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 40' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 44' goal
  • Raul Garcia 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ximo Navarro 8'
  • yellowcard Tomas Pina 84'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 10, 2021 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikel Vesga 2' yellowcard
  • Ander Capa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 46'
  • yellowcard Manu Garcia 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Oct 4, 2020 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Rodrigo Ely 74' goal
  • Ruben Duarte 85' yellowcard
  • Ruben Duarte 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Dani Garcia 19'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 62'
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 64'