La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 3, 2024 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
Barcelona

Garcia (52'), Imanol (65'), Berenguer (86')

Araujo (32'), Xavi (33'), Christensen (62'), Kounde (88')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Getafe
Saturday, February 24 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
35.53% ( 0.23)	24.71% ( 0.16)	39.76% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

-0.7)

44.43% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2% (

-0.69)

66.8% (

0.69)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

-0.19)

24.51% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

-0.28)

58.97% (

0.28)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

-0.5)

22.29% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26% (

-0.75)

55.74% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 35.53%

Barcelona 39.76%

Draw 24.71%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.76%