La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Mar 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Sociedad

Guevara (62'), Abqar (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pacheco (59')
Merino (80'), Pacheco (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Real Sociedad
29.2% ( 0.06)	30.12% ( -0.02)	40.68% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 40.72% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.75% (

0.08)

66.25% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.24% (

0.05)

84.76% (

-0.05)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.95% (

0.09)

40.05% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3% (

0.09)

76.7% (

-0.09)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93% (

0.02)

32.07% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46% (

0.02)

68.54% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Alaves 29.2%

Real Sociedad 40.68%

Draw 30.11%

Alaves	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 29.2%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.11%	0-1 @ 14.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.68%