Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
| 57.88% ( | 24.72% ( | 17.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.33% ( | 57.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.57% ( | 78.43% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( | 19.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% ( | 51.98% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.12% ( | 46.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.6% ( | 82.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 15.05% 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 57.87% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 2-2 @ 3.49% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0-2 @ 2.67% ( 1-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.4% |