Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.