La Liga Gameweek 35
Atletico
May 12, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Celta Vigo
  • Axel Witsel 72' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 84' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 36'

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2024 8.00pm
Mallorca 0 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2024 3.15pm
Celta Vigo 3 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jorgen Strand Larsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 61.79% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 21.02% ▼ (-0.19)
Celta Vigo 17.19% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.03% ▲ (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.57% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 2.5 43.43% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 3.5 34.17% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 3.5 65.83% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 4.5 17.65% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 4.5 82.35% ▼ (-0.43)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 86.48% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 0.5 13.52% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 59.42% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 1.5 40.58% ▼ (-0.56)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 61.32% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 38.67% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 24.58% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 75.41% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 61.78%
Draw 21.02%
Celta Vigo 17.19%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.46% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 10.46% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 61.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 21.02%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.11)
1-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.19%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
Oct 21, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Atletico
  • Ivan Villar 25' redcard
  • Oscar Mingueza 30' yellowcard
  • Carl Starfelt 51' yellowcard
  • Miguel Rodriguez 87' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 29'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 54'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 64'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Riquelme 87'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Celta Vigo
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
Atletico
  • goal Memphis Depay 89'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Atletico
Sep 10, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Celta Vigo
  • Angel Correa 9' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 50' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 66' goal
  • Unai Nunez 82' goal
  • goal Gabriel Veiga 71'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Atletico
Feb 26, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Celta Vigo
  • Stefan Savic 12' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 15' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 20' yellowcard
  • Renan Lodi 36' goal
  • Reinildo Mandava 50' yellowcard
  • Renan Lodi 60' goal
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 17'
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 71'
  • yellowcard Thiago Galhardo 84'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Atletico
  • Iago Aspas 59' goal
  • Denis Suarez 77' yellowcard
  • Augusto Solari 86' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 90' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Hugo Mallo 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Lemar 11'
  • goal Angel Correa 23'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 57'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 61'
  • goal Angel Correa 64'
  • yellowcard Yannick Carrasco 90'+2'
  • redcard Mario Hermoso 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Atletico
Feb 8, 2021 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Celta Vigo
  • Felipe 23' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 45' goal
  • Luis Suarez 50' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 5'
  • goal Santi Mina 13'
  • yellowcard Denis Suarez 78'
  • goal Facundo Ferreyra 89'

Form Data

Mallorca 0 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 3 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Alaves 2 - 0 Atletico
Dortmund 4 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 3 - 1 Girona
Atletico 2 - 1 Dortmund
Celta Vigo 3 - 2 Villarreal
Alaves 3 - 0 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 4 - 1 Las Palmas
Betis 2 - 1 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 1 - 2 Celta Vigo