Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 45.47% ( | 28.11% ( | 26.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.87% ( | 61.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.91% ( | 81.08% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( | 26.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( | 62.2% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( | 39.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( | 76.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 13.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-2 @ 3.96% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.42% |