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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Atletico Madrid logo

Alaves
2 - 0
Atletico

Benavidez (15'), Rioja (90+2')
Guridi (2'), Lopez (6'), Abqar (33'), Benavidez (49'), Marin (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Correa (45'), Azpilicueta (50'), Savic (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 2-0 Alaves
Sunday, April 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Atletico
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have won five of the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides, but Alaves did record a 1-0 victory in the corresponding contest during the 2021-22 campaign. Alaves will certainly be the fresher of the two teams for this match, but we are expecting Atletico to navigate their way to an important three points on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
31.87% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 27.92% (0.090999999999998 0.09) 40.21% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 47.44% (-0.261 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.58% (-0.331 -0.33)58.42% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.98% (-0.262 -0.26)79.02% (0.25800000000001 0.26)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-0.154 -0.15)33.71% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.165 -0.16)70.37% (0.163 0.16)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)28.43% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (-0.288 -0.29)64.19% (0.285 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 31.87%
    Atletico Madrid 40.2%
    Draw 27.91%
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.87%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.59% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Alaves vs Atletico

Alaves
9.4%
Draw
12.5%
Atletico Madrid
78.1%
96
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Atletico
2-1
Alaves
Riquelme (26'), Morata (45+1')
Llorente (71'), Hermoso (71'), Oblak (83')
Guevara (90+6')
Duarte (71'), Hagi (85')
Apr 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
Atletico
4-1
Alaves
Felix (11', 82'), Suarez (75' pen., 90')
Llorente (72')
Escalante (63')
Sep 25, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 7
Alaves
1-0
Atletico
Laguardia (4')
Sylla (31'), N'Diaye (36')

Savic (17'), Trippier (53'), Kondogbia (55')
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
1-0
Alaves
Suarez (54')
Carrasco (76'), Savic (85'), Niguez (90+2')

Jota (33'), Battaglia (88')
Jan 3, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 17
Alaves
1-2
Atletico
Felipe (84' og.)
Laguardia (63')
Llorente (41'), Suarez (90')
Carrasco (29'), Suarez (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona36247574433179
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real Sociedad361512949371257
7Real BetisBetis36141484843556
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia36139143740-348
10Getafe361013134151-1043
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas36108183246-1438
15Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
16Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria36211233572-3717


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