La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
2 - 0
Atletico

Benavidez (15'), Rioja (90+2')
Guridi (2'), Lopez (6'), Abqar (33'), Benavidez (49'), Marin (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Correa (45'), Azpilicueta (50'), Savic (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 2-0 Alaves
Sunday, April 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Atletico
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Atletico Madrid
31.87% ( 0.03)	27.92% ( 0.09)	40.21% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.58% (

-0.33)

58.42% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.98% (

-0.26)

79.02% (

0.26)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0.15)

33.71% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.16)

70.37% (

0.16)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56% (

-0.23)

28.43% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81% (

-0.29)

64.19% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Alaves 31.87%

Atletico Madrid 40.2%

Draw 27.91%

Alaves	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.87%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.2%