Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 26.33% ( | 26.58% ( | 47.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.16% ( | 55.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.04% ( | 76.96% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( | 36.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( | 73.43% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( | 23.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( | 57.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 3-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0-2 @ 9% ( 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0-4 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.1% |