Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.