Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Mallorca |
| 47.56% ( | 26.58% ( | 25.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.86% ( | 56.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.8% ( | 77.2% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( | 23.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( | 57.71% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.81% ( | 37.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.02% ( | 73.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% ( 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.86% |