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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 15, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao logo

Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Swedberg (68'), Alvarez (71')
Starfelt (80'), Cervi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berenguer (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic have won just two of their last eight away league games, and we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Celta side that has avoided defeat in each of their previous four home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
39.57% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 26.92% (0.158 0.16) 33.51% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.69% (-0.64 -0.64)54.31% (0.64 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3% (-0.539 -0.54)75.7% (0.538 0.54)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)26.85% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.45 -0.45)62.15% (0.449 0.45)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.372 -0.37)30.49% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)66.71% (0.444 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 39.56%
    Athletic Bilbao 33.51%
    Draw 26.92%
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.56%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo
23.8%
Draw
32.1%
Athletic Bilbao
44.0%
84
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
4-3
Celta Vigo
Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')
Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Celta Vigo
Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')
Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')
Aug 28, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Mendez (52'), Mallo (90+6')
Williams (34')
Simon (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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