La Liga Gameweek 36
May 15, 2024 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Williot Swedberg 68' goal
  • Hugo Alvarez 71' goal
  • Carl Starfelt 80' yellowcard
  • Franco Cervi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 23'

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2024 3.15pm
Atletico 1 - 0 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jorgen Strand Larsen

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2024 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 2 Osasuna
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result

Celta Vigo 39.57% (-0.08)
Draw 26.92% (+0.16)
Athletic Bilbao 33.51% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.84% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.69% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 54.31% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 24.3% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 75.7% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 10.91% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 89.08% (+0.34)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 73.15% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 26.85% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 37.85% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 62.15% (+0.45)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 69.51% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 30.49% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 33.29% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 66.71% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 39.56%
Draw 26.92%
Athletic Bilbao 33.51%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.76% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.08% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.19% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.92%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 9.72% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.77% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.51%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 37' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 45'+5' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 52' goal
  • Unai Simon 56' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+8' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 39'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 41'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 66'
  • yellowcard Vicente Guaita 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inaki Williams 5' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 54' goal
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 50'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Iago Aspas 71' goal
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alex Petxarroman 41' yellowcard
  • Iker Muniain 62' yellowcard
  • goal Iago Aspas 11'
  • goal Fran Beltran 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 51'
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brais Mendez 52' yellowcard
  • Hugo Mallo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Inaki Williams 34'
  • yellowcard Unai Simon 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2021 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Santi Mina 45' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vazquez 63' yellowcard
  • Jeison Murillo 70' yellowcard
  • E. Coudet 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inigo Lekue 41'