La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 15, 2024 at 9pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Swedberg (68'), Alvarez (71')
Starfelt (80'), Cervi (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Berenguer (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Osasuna
Saturday, May 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
39.57% ( -0.08)	26.92% ( 0.16)	33.51% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 50.84% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.69% (

-0.64)

54.31% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.3% (

-0.54)

75.7% (

0.54)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

-0.34)

26.85% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

-0.45)

62.15% (

0.45)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

-0.37)

30.49% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

-0.45)

66.71% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 39.56%

Athletic Bilbao 33.51%

Draw 26.92%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.56%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.51%