Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.