Australian A-League
Auckland FC
Jan 24, 2026 4.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mount Smart Stadium
Central Coast
  • Jesse Randall 12' goal
  • Sam Cosgrove 58' goal
  • Jake Brimmer 81' yellowcard
  • Logan Rogerson 84' yellowcard
  • Callan Elliot 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Marlee Francois 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Oliver Lavale 44'
  • yellowcard Miguel Di Pizio 62'
  • yellowcard Sabit Ngor 62'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Blair 62'
  • yellowcard S. Ngor 62'
  • yellowcard Nathanael Blair 62'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 74'
  • yellowcard Nathan Paull 74'
  • yellowcard C. Theoharous 74'
  • goal Oliver Lavale 89'
  • yellowcard Will Patrick Jardine Kennedy 90'
  • yellowcard Will Patrick Jardine Kennedy 90'+1'

Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 8.35am
Melbourne City 2 - 1 Auckland FC
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Sam Cosgrove

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 7.00am
Central Coast 0 - 0 Macarthur
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Oliver Lavale

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.96% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%) , while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Auckland FC 61.56% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 20.96% ▲ (+0.25)
Central Coast Mariners 17.51% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.54% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.85% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 19.15% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 59.53% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 40.47% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 35.93% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 64.07% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 4.5 22.4% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 77.6% ▲ (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Auckland FC 45.96% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 36.03% ▼ (-0.33)
Central Coast Mariners 18.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Auckland FC 63.3% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 4.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Central Coast Mariners 31.88% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 63.71% ▼ (-0.54)
Equal 8 10.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 25.73% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 9 52.43% ▼ (-0.54)
Equal 9 11.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 36.29% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 10.5 41.38% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 10.5 58.62% ▲ (+0.48)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 1.5 59.88% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 1.5 40.12% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 2.5 32.89% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 2.5 67.11% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 14.33% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 85.67% ▲ (+0.36)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 55.01% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 44.99% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 23.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 76.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 6.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 93.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Auckland FC 61.57%
Draw 20.96%
Central Coast Mariners 17.51%
Auckland FC
2-1 @ 10.71% ▲ (+0.11)
1-0 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 14.2% ▼ (-0.37)
Total : 61.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.96%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 17.51%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Central Coast
Dec 12, 2025 8.35am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Auckland FC
  • Callan Elliot 33' goal
  • Will Patrick Jardine Kennedy 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jesse Randall 20'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 58'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Auckland FC
Mar 16, 2025 4.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
Central Coast
  • Guillermo May 10' goal
  • Guillermo May 10' goal
  • Callan Elliot 78' goal
  • Callan Elliot 78' goal
  • goal Vitor Feijao 71'
  • goal Vitor Feijao 71'
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 77'
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 77'
  • goal Nicholas Duarte 90'
  • goal Nicholas Duarte 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Central Coast
Dec 28, 2024 6.00am
1
4
HT : 2 6
FT Central Coast Stadium
Auckland FC
  • Alfie McCalmont 15' goal
  • Alfie McCalmont 15' goal
  • Trent Sainsbury 24' yellowcard
  • Trent Sainsbury 24' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 83' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 83' yellowcard
  • Vitor Feijao 90' yellowcard
  • Vitor Feijao 90' yellowcard
  • goal Hiroki Sakai 12'
  • goal Hiroki Sakai 12'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 31'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 31'
  • goal Guillermo May 39'
  • goal Guillermo May 39'
  • yellowcard Francis De Vries 67'
  • yellowcard Francis De Vries 67'
  • goal Logan Rogerson 84'
  • goal Logan Rogerson 84'
  • yellowcard Louis Verstraete 89'
  • yellowcard Louis Verstraete 89'
  • yellowcard Felipe Gallegos 90'
  • yellowcard Felipe Gallegos 90'
  • yellowcard Tommy Smith 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Tommy Smith 90'+1'

Form Data

Melbourne City 2 - 1 Auckland FC
Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Macarthur 0 - 0 Auckland FC
Auckland FC 0 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Central Coast 1 - 2 Auckland FC
Central Coast 0 - 0 Macarthur
Perth Glory 3 - 0 Central Coast
Adelaide United 0 - 0 Central Coast
Central Coast 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Wellington 3 - 1 Central Coast
Central Coast 1 - 2 Auckland FC