Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.