Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Jan 6, 2026 at 8am UK
 
Brisbane Roar

Melbourne CityMelbourne City
vs.
Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-3 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 28 at 8am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Melbourne City vs. Sydney FC
Saturday, January 3 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, December 19 at 7am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Central Coast vs. Brisbane Roar
Wednesday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw has a probability of 22.94% and a win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Brisbane Roar win it is 0-1 (5.93%).

Result
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
54.49% (0.080999999999996 0.08)22.94% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)22.57% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (0.080999999999996 0.08)44.32% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.079000000000001 0.08)66.69% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.055999999999997 0.06)16.18% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (0.103 0.1)45.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (0.00099999999999056 0)33.61% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (0.0010000000000012 0)70.26% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 54.49%
    Brisbane Roar 22.57%
    Draw 22.93%
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 54.49%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.93%
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 22.57%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2025 8.35am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Melbourne City
Apr 11, 2025 10.35am
gameweek 26
Melbourne City
3-2
Brisbane Roar
Tilio (57'), Caputo (61'), Ferreyra (85')
Ugarkovic (69'), Ferreyra (86'), Leckie (90+2'), Atkinson (90+4')
Abubakar (9'), Jelacic (69')
Ludwik (50'), Bility (90+2'), Klein (90')
Jan 11, 2025 6am
gameweek 13
Melbourne City
1-0
Brisbane Roar
Mazzeo (65')
Atkinson (61'), Behich (90+2'), Beach (90+3')

Gianetti (58'), O'Shea (90+3')
Dec 6, 2024 8.35am
gameweek 7
Brisbane Roar
1-4
Melbourne City
O'Shea (77' pen.)
Van Der Saag (54')
Kuen (1'), Cohen (18', 70'), Ugarkovic (82')
Feb 10, 2024 7am
gameweek 16
Brisbane Roar
5-1
Melbourne City
Trewin (2', 2'), Waddingham (30', 46', 30', 46'), O'Shea (33', 33'), Jelacic (39', 39')
Hore (10'), Hore (10'), Freke (88'), Freke (88')
Antonis (73', 73')
Galloway (62'), Galloway (62')