Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.