Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.46% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%) , while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.