Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.