Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-0 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.