Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.