Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 24, 2026 6.00am
Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 10.45am
Perth Glory 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Samuel Klein

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 8.35am
Adelaide United 2 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Craig Goodwin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Adelaide United has a probability of 35.98% and a draw has a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Adelaide United win is 1-2 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.35%).

Result

Brisbane Roar 41.1% (+0.25)
Draw 22.89% (-0.11)
Adelaide United 35.98% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.82% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.06% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 17.94% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 61.17% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 38.83% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 38.63% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 61.37% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 23.02% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 76.98% (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Brisbane Roar 33.31% (-0.25)
Draw 38.4% (+0.47)
Adelaide United 28.29% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Brisbane Roar 52.81% (+0.93)
No Goal 4.27% (+0.06)
Adelaide United 42.92% (-0.98)

Corners

Over 8 63.7% (-0.41)
Equal 8 10.67% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.63% (+0.42)
Over 9 52.31% (-0.36)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.05)
Under 9 36.3% (+0.41)
Over 10.5 41.15% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 58.85% (+0.29)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 1.5 45.34% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.66% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.33% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 78.67% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 7.93% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.07% (+0.13)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 71.98% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 28.02% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 41.43% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 58.57% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 18.37% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 81.63% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 6.86% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 93.14% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Brisbane Roar 41.1%
Draw 22.88%
Adelaide United 35.98%
Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.7% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 7.21% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.75% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.08% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.7% (-0.10)
Total : 41.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.27% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.03)
Total : 22.88%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 8.28% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.06)
Other @ 6.63% (-0.18)
Total : 35.98%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Dec 7, 2025 8.35am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yaya Dukuly 45'+6' yellowcard
  • 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Luke Duzel 60' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Kikianis 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Valkanis 32'
  • yellowcard Jay O'Shea 39'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruhs 45'+2'
  • yellowcard 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Justin Vidic 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Samuel Klein 63'
  • goal Chris Long 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Chris Long 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Apr 22, 2025 10.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Asumah Abubakar 59' goal
  • Ben Halloran 78' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Pierias 11'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Mar 8, 2025 6.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Harry Crawford 45'+3' goal
  • Harry Crawford 45'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Keegan Jelacic 36'
  • yellowcard Keegan Jelacic 36'
  • goal Jacob Brazete 68'
  • goal Jacob Brazete 68'
  • yellowcard Jack Hingert 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jack Hingert 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jack Hingert 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jack Hingert 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 23, 2024 6.00am
2
3
HT : 4 2
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Keegan Jelacic 6' goal
  • Keegan Jelacic 6' goal
  • Benjamin Warland 22' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Warland 22' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 43' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 43' goal
  • goal Stefan Mauk 33'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 33'
  • goal Zach Clough 46'
  • goal Zach Clough 46'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Kikianis 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Kikianis 45'+1'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 62'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 62'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 26, 2024 10.55am
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Henry Hore 3' goal
  • Rylan Brownlie 59' yellowcard
  • Tom Aldred 73' yellowcard
  • Thomas Waddingham 78' goal
  • Henry Hore 83' goal
  • Henry Hore 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 21'
  • yellowcard Harry Van Der Saag 33'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 39'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 47'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 64'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 73'
  • goal Harry Van Der Saag 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 10, 2023 4.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 90' yellowcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 90' yellowcard
  • goal Taras Gomulka 41'
  • goal Jez Lofthouse 48'
  • goal Jez Lofthouse 48'
  • goal Jay O'Shea 54'
  • goal Jay O'Shea 54'
  • yellowcard Jez Lofthouse 60'
  • yellowcard Jez Lofthouse 60'