Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.