Adelaide United

Jan 17, 2026 8.35am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Coopers Stadium

Craig Goodwin 6'
Joey Garuccio 67'
Joey Garuccio 68'
90'+3'
Juan Muniz 90'+3'
Panashe Madanha 90'+3'
Juan Muñiz 90'+3'
Ryan Kitto 90'+7'

Jing Reec 67'
Matthew Grimaldi 67'
Keegan Jelacic 67'
Matthew Grimaldi 75'
Reno Piscopo 78'
Xavier Stella 90'+3'
90'+3'
Juan Mata 90'+3'

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

D
L
W
W
L
L

Australian A-League

D
L
W
W
L
L

Last game

Jan 11, 2026 2.00am

Wellington 2 - 2 Adelaide United

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Brody Burkitt

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

L
W
W
W
W
D

Australian A-League

L
W
W
W
W
D

Last game

Jan 10, 2026 6.00am

Victory 0 - 1 Western Sydney

Goals scored

24

Top scorer

Nikolaos Vergos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 3-1 (5.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Adelaide United 40.48% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 22.27%

Melbourne Victory 37.25% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

67.41% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.87% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 14.13% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 2.5 67.27% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 2.5 32.73% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 46.77% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 3.5 53.23% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 4.5 29.74% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 4.5 70.26% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Adelaide United 33.45%

Draw 34.48%

Melbourne Victory 32.06%

Team To Score First

Adelaide United 48.92% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)

Melbourne Victory 47.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 73.84%

Equal 8 8.62%

Under 8 17.55%

Over 9 63.84%

Equal 9 10%

Under 9 26.16%

Over 10.5 53.18%

Under 10.5 46.82%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 1.5 48.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 51.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 25.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 74.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 10.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 89.76% ▲ (+0.03)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 73.67% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 0.5 26.33% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 1.5 46.4% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 1.5 53.6% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 2.5 22.49% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 2.5 77.51% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 9.23% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 90.77% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Adelaide United 40.48%

Draw 22.28%

Melbourne Victory 37.24%

Adelaide United

2-1 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.02)

1-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 5.26%

2-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 40.48%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.92%

2-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)

3-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.46% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 22.28%

Melbourne Victory

1-2 @ 7.82%

0-1 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 2.14%

Other @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 37.24%

Head to Head

Dec 13, 2025 8.35am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Adelaide United

Nikolaos Vergos 24'
Nikolaos Vergos 46'
Nikolaos Vergos 48'

Luke Duzel 73'
Dylan Pierias 86'

Mar 29, 2025 8.35am

5

3

HT : 4 2

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Adelaide United

Daniel Arzani 29'
Daniel Arzani 29'
Nishan Velupillay 39'
Nishan Velupillay 39'
Daniel Arzani 71'
Bruno Fornaroli 78'
Nikolaos Vergos 88'
Nikolaos Vergos 90'
Alexander Badolato 90'+8'

Jonny Yull 12'
Jonny Yull 12'
Archie Goodwin 47'
Panagiotis Kikianis 50'
Zach Clough 56'
Zach Clough 87'

Adelaide United

Jan 18, 2025 8.35am

3

2

HT : 2 1

FT Coopers Stadium

Stefan Mauk 31'
Roderick Miranda 45'+1'
Ben Folami 48'
Ethan Alagich 71'

Ryan Teague 18'
Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 66'

Adelaide United

Mar 9, 2024 9.15am

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Coopers Stadium

Nestory Irankunda 51'
Nick Ansell 55'

Bruno Fornaroli 33'
Bruno Fornaroli 57'
Roderick Miranda 87'
Paul Izzo 90'+7'

Dec 30, 2023 8.45am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT AAMI Park

Adelaide United

Bruno Fornaroli 39'
Zinedine Machach 73'
Bruno Fornaroli 88'
Bruno Fornaroli 90'

A. Popovic 62'
Alexandar Popovic 62'
Javi Lopez 68'
Isaias Sanchez 71'

Nov 4, 2023 8.45am

1

1

HT : 2 0

FT Marvel Stadium

Adelaide United

Bruno Fornaroli 28'
Bruno Fornaroli 28'
Roderick Miranda 58'
Roderick Miranda 63'
Rai Marchan 90'+1'
Connor Chapman 90'+7'

Panashe Madanha 22'
Panashe Madanha 22'
Hiroshi Ibusuki 59'
Nestory Irankunda 79'
Carl Veart 81'
Nestory Irankunda 90'+6'

Form Data

Wellington 2 - 2 Adelaide United

Adelaide United 0 - 4 Central Coast

Adelaide United 3 - 2 Western Sydney

Perth Glory 0 - 1 Adelaide United

Victory 2 - 1 Adelaide United

Adelaide United 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Victory 0 - 1 Western Sydney

Victory 3 - 2 Perth Glory

Victory 5 - 1 Wellington

Melbourne City 0 - 1 Victory

Victory 2 - 1 Adelaide United

Macarthur 0 - 0 Victory