Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.