Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%).