Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 26, 2026 6.30am
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 8.35am
Adelaide United 2 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Nikolaos Vergos

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 6.00am
Sydney FC 0 - 2 Wellington
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Victor Campuzano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 37.37% and a draw has a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.32%).

Result

Melbourne Victory 37.37%
Draw 22.77%
Sydney FC 39.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.14%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.52%
Under 1.5 18.48%
Over 2.5 59.95%
Under 2.5 40.05%
Over 3.5 37.71%
Under 3.5 62.29%
Over 4.5 22.58%
Under 4.5 77.42%

First Half Winner

Melbourne Victory 31.67%
Draw 36.41%
Sydney FC 31.92%

Team To Score First

Melbourne Victory 45.91%
No Goal 4.52%
Sydney FC 49.57%

Corners

Over 8 61.73%
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 27.45%
Over 9 50.37%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 38.27%
Over 10.5 39.4%
Under 10.5 60.6%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 1.5 42.09%
Under 1.5 57.91%
Over 2.5 18.55%
Under 2.5 81.45%
Over 3.5 6.79%
Under 3.5 93.21%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 74.08%
Under 0.5 25.92%
Over 1.5 44.22%
Under 1.5 55.78%
Over 2.5 20.02%
Under 2.5 79.98%
Over 3.5 7.21%
Under 3.5 92.79%

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 37.38%
Draw 22.77%
Sydney FC 39.87%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.27%
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 2.52%
Other @ 6.64%
Total : 37.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.77%
Sydney FC
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-1 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 4.59%
2-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 2.88%
Other @ 7.06%
Total : 39.87%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Nov 22, 2025 8.35am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Jan 24, 2025 8.35am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Nikolaos Vergos 24' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 29' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 23'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 63'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2024 8.35am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Joe Lolley 2' goal
  • Joe Lolley 26' goal
  • Adrian Segecic 68' yellowcard
  • Jaiden Kucharski 86' goal
  • redcard Zinedine Machach 16'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 51'
  • yellowcard Jing Reec 67'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fornaroli 70'
  • yellowcard Brendan Hamill 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 26, 2024 8.45am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Zinedine Machach 17' goal
  • Rai Marchan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Courtney-Perkins 10'
  • redcard Patrick Wood 36'
  • yellowcard Luke Brattan 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Dec 16, 2023 8.45am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Daniel Arzani 20' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 24' goal
  • Adama Traore 48' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 56' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 57' goal
  • Ben Folami 66' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel King 44'
  • yellowcard Rhyan Grant 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 21, 2023 9.45am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
  • Luke Brattan 35' yellowcard
  • Rhyan Grant 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 48'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 62'
  • yellowcard Rai Marchan 76'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 86'
  • yellowcard Chris Ikonomidis 90'+3'