Australian A-League
Jan 26, 2026 6.40am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 53' goal
  • Clarismario 53' goal
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 64' goal
  • Clarismario 64' goal
  • Jordi Valadon 68' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 68' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 76' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 79' goal
  • Lachlan Jackson 82' goal
  • Jackson Lachlan 82' goal
  • Jing Reec 83' yellowcard
  • Reno Piscopo 83' yellowcard
  • Reno Piscopo 84' yellowcard
  • Jing Reec 84' yellowcard
  • Joshua Inserra 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Courtney-Perkins 45'
  • yellowcard Jordan Courtney-Perkins 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Wataru Kamijo 56'
  • yellowcard Mathias Langeland Macallister 56'
  • yellowcard Alexandar Popovic 56'
  • yellowcard W. Kamijo 56'
  • yellowcard Akol Akon 89'
  • yellowcard Nickolas Alfaro 89'

Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 8.35am
Adelaide United 2 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Nikolaos Vergos

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 6.00am
Sydney FC 0 - 2 Wellington
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Tiago Quintal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%).

Result

Melbourne Victory 37.32% (-0.30)
Draw 22.74% (+0.04)
Sydney FC 39.91% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.16% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.42% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 18.58% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 59.96% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 40.04% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 37.81% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 62.23% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 22.48% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 77.52% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Melbourne Victory 31.87%
Draw 36.53%
Sydney FC 31.6%

Team To Score First

Melbourne Victory 45.62% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.53% (+0.04)
Sydney FC 49.85% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.4%
Equal 8 11.08%
Under 8 28.52%
Over 9 48.87%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 39.6%
Over 10.5 37.86%
Under 10.5 62.14%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 1.5 42.03% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 57.97% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 18.47% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 81.53% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 6.76% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 93.24% (+0.13)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 74.12% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 25.88% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 44.27% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 55.73% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 19.92% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 80.08% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.22% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.78% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 37.31%
Draw 22.73%
Sydney FC 39.92%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.62% (-0.13)
Total : 37.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.53% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.73%
Sydney FC
1-2 @ 8.68% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.01% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.01% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.69% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.73% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.08% (+0.03)
Total : 39.92%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Nov 22, 2025 8.35am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Jan 24, 2025 8.35am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Nikolaos Vergos 24' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 29' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 23'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 63'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2024 8.35am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Joe Lolley 2' goal
  • Joe Lolley 26' goal
  • Adrian Segecic 68' yellowcard
  • Jaiden Kucharski 86' goal
  • redcard Zinedine Machach 16'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 51'
  • yellowcard Jing Reec 67'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fornaroli 70'
  • yellowcard Brendan Hamill 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 26, 2024 8.45am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Zinedine Machach 17' goal
  • Rai Marchan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Courtney-Perkins 10'
  • redcard Patrick Wood 36'
  • yellowcard Luke Brattan 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Dec 16, 2023 8.45am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Daniel Arzani 20' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 24' goal
  • Adama Traore 48' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 56' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 57' goal
  • Ben Folami 66' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel King 44'
  • yellowcard Rhyan Grant 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 21, 2023 9.45am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
  • Luke Brattan 35' yellowcard
  • Rhyan Grant 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 48'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 62'
  • yellowcard Rai Marchan 76'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 86'
  • yellowcard Chris Ikonomidis 90'+3'