Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.71% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%) , while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.