Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Feb 8, 2026 6.00am
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Brody Brody Burkitt 25' yellowcard
  • Brody Burkitt 25' yellowcard
  • Juan Muniz 53' goal
  • Juan Muñiz 53' goal
  • Ethan Alagich 63' yellowcard
  • Luke Duzel 63' yellowcard
  • Yaya Dukuly 64' goal
  • Panashe Madanha 79' yellowcard
  • Ben Folami 79' yellowcard
  • goal Clayton Taylor 45'+2'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 51'
  • yellowcard Kota Mizunuma 66'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 72'
  • yellowcard Xavier Bertoncello 75'
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Scicluna 75'
  • yellowcard L. Scicluna 75'

Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 9.05am
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Macarthur
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Luka Jovanovic

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 6.00am
Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Clayton Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.59%) and 1-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Adelaide United 43.96% (+0.50)
Draw 21.4% (+0.08)
Newcastle Jets 34.6% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.33% (-0.77)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.86% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 13.14% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 68.66% (-0.78)
Under 2.5 31.34% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 47.9% (-1.11)
Under 3.5 52.1% (+1.11)
Over 4.5 31.09% (-0.94)
Under 4.5 68.91% (+0.93)

First Half Winner

Adelaide United 43.17% (+1.02)
Draw 30.78% (-0.58)
Newcastle Jets 26.05% (-0.44)

Team To Score First

Adelaide United 55.58% (-0.89)
No Goal 2.86% (+0.03)
Newcastle Jets 41.56% (+0.86)

Corners

Over 8 78.65% (-0.38)
Equal 8 7.8% (+0.06)
Under 8 13.55% (+0.33)
Over 9 69.12% (-0.43)
Equal 9 9.53% (+0.04)
Under 9 21.35% (+0.39)
Over 10.5 58.5% (-0.43)
Under 10.5 41.5% (+0.43)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 1.5 51.78% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 48.22% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 28.19% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 71.81% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 12.72% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 87.28% (+0.22)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 71.34% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 28.66% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 43.86% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 56.14% (+0.85)
Over 2.5 20.48% (-0.92)
Under 2.5 79.52% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 8.07% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 91.93% (+0.50)

Score analysis

Adelaide United 43.97%
Draw 21.4%
Newcastle Jets 34.61%
Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.59% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 5.4% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 4.97% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 4.59% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.98% (+0.23)
Other @ 12.43% (-0.15)
Total : 43.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.02% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 6.92% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.86% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.31% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.08)
Total : 21.4%
Newcastle Jets
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 4.86% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 4.2% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.78% (-0.42)
Total : 34.61%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Feb 15, 2025 8.35am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Stefan Mauk 45'+1' goal
  • Stefan Mauk 45'+1' goal
  • Bart Vriends 50' yellowcard
  • goal Lachlan Rose 37'
  • goal Lachlan Rose 37'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 55'
  • yellowcard Lachlan Bayliss 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 7, 2024 7.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Aleksandar Susnjar 53' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Susnjar 53' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 61' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 61' yellowcard
  • goal Stefan Mauk 14'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 14'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Kikianis 27'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Kikianis 27'
  • redcard Ben Folami 64'
  • redcard Ben Folami 64'
  • yellowcard James Delianov 89'
  • yellowcard James Delianov 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Mar 15, 2024 8.45am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Thomas Aquilina 5' yellowcard
  • Dane Ingham 33' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mauragis 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Warland 12'
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 25'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 27'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 42'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 60'
  • yellowcard Ethan Alagich 67'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 22, 2023 8.45am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 14' goal
  • Zach Clough 68' goal
  • Ben Halloran 70' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dane Ingham 9'
  • yellowcard Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 14'
  • goal Justin Vidic 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 11, 2023 8.45am
2
4
HT : 2 3
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Jason Hoffman 16' goal
  • Angus Thurgate 45'+3' goal
  • goal Craig Goodwin 12'
  • goal Zach Clough 14'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 44'
  • goal Nestory Irankunda 65'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 27, 2022 9.15am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • goal Jaushua Sotirio 25'