Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 23, 2026 8.35am
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Lachlan Bayliss 1' goal
  • Clayton Taylor 56' goal
  • Eli Adams 70' goal
  • Xavier Bertoncello 71' yellowcard
  • Kota Mizunuma 71' yellowcard
  • Kota Mizunuma 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • Ben Gibson 80' yellowcard
  • Lucas Scicluna 80' yellowcard
  • L. Scicluna 80' yellowcard
  • Xavier Bertoncello 89' goal
  • Alex Nunes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Mileusnic 71'
  • yellowcard Luke Brooke-Smith 71'
  • yellowcard Paulo Retre 71'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard N. Mileusnić 71'
  • yellowcard Paulo Retre 72'
  • yellowcard Bill Tuiloma 72'
  • yellowcard Luke Brooke-Smith 72'
  • yellowcard Sander Kartum 82'
  • goal Sander Kartum 86'

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 6.00am
Western Sydney 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Clayton Taylor

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 6.00am
Sydney FC 0 - 2 Wellington
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Eze Kelvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%).

Result

Newcastle Jets 48.51% (+0.08)
Draw 22.94%
Wellington Phoenix 28.58% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.47% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 16.53% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 63.39% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 36.61% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 42% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 58% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 26.41% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 73.59% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Newcastle Jets 46.74%
Draw 33.3%
Wellington Phoenix 19.96%

Team To Score First

Newcastle Jets 59.94% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.01% (-0.01)
Wellington Phoenix 36.05%

Corners

Over 8 68.37%
Equal 8 9.88%
Under 8 21.75%
Over 9 57.4%
Equal 9 10.96%
Under 9 31.63%
Over 10.5 46.25%
Under 10.5 53.75%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 1.5 53.55% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.45% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 28.31% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 71.69% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 12.76% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 87.24% (-0.04)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 66.38% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.62% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.19% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.81% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.76% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.24% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.94%
Under 3.5 95.06%

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 48.52%
Draw 22.94%
Wellington Phoenix 28.59%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.11% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.19%
2-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.39% (+0.03)
Total : 48.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.37% (+0.02)
Total : 22.94%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.57% (-0.01)
Total : 28.59%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Dec 14, 2025 2.00am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eze Kelvin 69' goal
  • goal Eli Adams 50'
  • goal Lachlan Rose 54'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 57'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 6, 2025 8.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Josh Oluwayemi 65' goal
  • Kota Mizunuma 83' yellowcard
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 34'
  • goal Kazuki Nagasawa 41'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 54'
  • yellowcard Tim Payne 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2024 4.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Kosta Barbarouses 3' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 3' goal
  • Paulo Retre 59' goal
  • Paulo Retre 59' goal
  • goal Ben Gibson 73'
  • goal Ben Gibson 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 19, 2024 10.45am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Alex Paulsen 15' goal
  • Callum Timmins 17' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 65' yellowcard
  • Carl Jenkinson 66' yellowcard
  • Dane Ingham 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Wootton 68'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 27, 2024 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 23' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 23' yellowcard
  • Mark Natta 77' yellowcard
  • Mark Natta 77' yellowcard
  • Trent Buhagiar 80' goal
  • Trent Buhagiar 80' goal
  • goal Alex Rufer 5'
  • goal Alex Rufer 5'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Al-Taay 43'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Al-Taay 43'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 85'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 85'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 87'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 9, 2023 6.30am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
  • Alex Rufer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Rufer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 4'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 4'
  • yellowcard Phillip Cancar 29'
  • yellowcard Phillip Cancar 29'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 43'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 43'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 47'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 47'