Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
Jan 23, 2026 8.35am
McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 6.00am
Western Sydney 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Lachlan Rose

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 2.00am
Wellington 2 - 2 Adelaide United
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Alex Rufer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 25.66% and a draw has a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (6.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.12%).

Result

Newcastle Jets 51.33% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 23.01% ▲ (+0.16)
Wellington Phoenix 25.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.67% ▼ (-0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.63% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 17.37% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 2.5 62.01% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 2.5 37.99% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 3.5 40.99% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 3.5 59.01% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 4.5 25.87% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 4.5 74.13% ▲ (+0.65)

First Half Winner

Newcastle Jets 46.27% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 33.38% ▼ (-0.20)
Wellington Phoenix 20.35% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Newcastle Jets 61.2% ▲ (+0.39)
No Goal 4.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Wellington Phoenix 34.42% ▼ (-0.55)

Corners

Over 8 69.54% ▼ (-0.53)
Equal 8 9.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 21.13% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 9 59.11% ▼ (-0.50)
Equal 9 10.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 30.46% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 10.5 48.37% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 10.5 51.63% ▲ (+0.43)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 1.5 55.04% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 44.96% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 2.5 29.87% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 2.5 70.13% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 3.5 13.76% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 3.5 86.24% ▲ (+0.59)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 63.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 36.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 32.66% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 67.34% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 2.5 12.71% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 87.29% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 3.5 3.85% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 96.15% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 51.33%
Draw 23.01%
Wellington Phoenix 25.66%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.18)
1-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 13.45% ▼ (-0.54)
Total : 51.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 23.01%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 25.66%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Wellington
Dec 14, 2025 2.00am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle Jets
  • Eze Kelvin 69' goal
  • goal Eli Adams 50'
  • goal Lachlan Rose 54'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 57'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Newcastle Jets
Apr 6, 2025 8.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington
  • Josh Oluwayemi 65' goal
  • Kota Mizunuma 83' yellowcard
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 34'
  • goal Kazuki Nagasawa 41'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 54'
  • yellowcard Tim Payne 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Wellington
Dec 28, 2024 4.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Newcastle Jets
  • Kosta Barbarouses 3' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 3' goal
  • Paulo Retre 59' goal
  • Paulo Retre 59' goal
  • goal Ben Gibson 73'
  • goal Ben Gibson 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Newcastle Jets
Apr 19, 2024 10.45am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington
  • Alex Paulsen 15' goal
  • Callum Timmins 17' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 65' yellowcard
  • Carl Jenkinson 66' yellowcard
  • Dane Ingham 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Wootton 68'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
Jan 27, 2024 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 23' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 23' yellowcard
  • Mark Natta 77' yellowcard
  • Mark Natta 77' yellowcard
  • Trent Buhagiar 80' goal
  • Trent Buhagiar 80' goal
  • goal Alex Rufer 5'
  • goal Alex Rufer 5'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Al-Taay 43'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Al-Taay 43'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 85'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 85'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 87'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Wellington
Dec 9, 2023 6.30am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
Newcastle Jets
  • Alex Rufer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Rufer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 4'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 4'
  • yellowcard Phillip Cancar 29'
  • yellowcard Phillip Cancar 29'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 43'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 43'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 47'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 47'

Form Data

Western Sydney 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Melbourne City 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Auckland FC 0 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets 4 - 5 Macarthur
Newcastle Jets 2 - 0 Sydney FC
Wellington 1 - 3 Newcastle Jets
Wellington 2 - 2 Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar 0 - 0 Wellington
Victory 5 - 1 Wellington
Wellington 3 - 1 Central Coast
Wellington 1 - 3 Newcastle Jets
Auckland FC 3 - 1 Wellington