Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 3-1 (5.6%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.