Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%).