Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Jan 31, 2026 6.00am
McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 8.35am
Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Eli Adams

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 6.00am
Brisbane Roar 2 - 3 Adelaide United
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Samuel Klein

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 34.87% and a draw has a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win is 1-2 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result

Newcastle Jets 41.24% (-0.04)
Draw 23.85% (-0.03)
Brisbane Roar 34.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.5% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.1% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 18.9% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 59.14% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.86% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.9% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.07% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.25% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.75% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Newcastle Jets 33.99%
Draw 40.87%
Brisbane Roar 25.14%

Team To Score First

Newcastle Jets 50.51% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.79% (-0.02)
Brisbane Roar 44.7% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.16%
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 22.58%
Over 9 55.88%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 32.84%
Over 10.5 44.54%
Under 10.5 55.46%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 1.5 45.27% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.73% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.36% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.52%
Under 3.5 91.48%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 70.4% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.6% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 39.66% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.34% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.55% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.45% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.36% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.64% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 41.24%
Draw 23.85%
Brisbane Roar 34.87%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 3.12%
Other @ 8.41%
Total : 41.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.85%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 5.25% (+0.01)
Total : 34.87%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Nov 7, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Feb 21, 2025 8.35am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Kota Mizunuma 21' goal
  • Eli Adams 38' goal
  • Clayton Taylor 50' goal
  • yellowcard Waleed Shour 29'
  • yellowcard Hosine Bility 30'
  • goal Jay O'Shea 43'
  • yellowcard Asumah Abubakar 82'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 7, 2025 9.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Corey Brown 86' yellowcard
  • goal Lachlan Rose 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 13, 2024 8.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Ruben Zadkovich 0' yellowcard
  • Ben Cahn 0' yellowcard
  • Jack Hingert 59' yellowcard
  • Jack Hingert 59' yellowcard
  • Tom Aldred 81' yellowcard
  • Tom Aldred 81' yellowcard
  • goal Clayton Taylor 53'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 53'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 63'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 63'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Jan 23, 2024 8.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 29' goal
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 54' goal
  • Nathan Grimaldi 56' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mauragis 57' goal
  • yellowcard Jonas Markovski 45'
  • redcard Jay O'Shea 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Scott Neville 58'
  • goal Ayom Majok 71'
  • yellowcard Louis Zabala 75'
Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2024 8.45am
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Tom Aldred 13' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 61' goal
  • Ryan Lethlean 77' yellowcard
  • Jonas Markovski 82' goal
  • Ayom Majok 85' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 90' goal
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 18'
  • yellowcard Daniel Stynes 49'
  • goal Phillip Cancar 65'