Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 11.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada |
| 68.7% ( | 19.85% ( | 11.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( | 50.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( | 72.2% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( | 13.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.3% ( | 40.7% ( |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.7% ( | 51.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.46% ( | 85.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% ( 2-0 @ 13.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 3-0 @ 9.24% ( 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 4-0 @ 4.61% ( 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 5-0 @ 1.84% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 68.7% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 3.09% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.85% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 11.45% |