Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Pescara had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Pescara win was 0-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.