Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 46.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.96% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Calcio Padova
46.14% ( 0.02)	26.96% ( 0.01)	26.91% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.68% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.1% (

-0.07)

56.9% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.18% (

-0.05)

77.82% (

0.05)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36% (

-0.02)

24.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

-0.03)

59.15% (

0.03)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.27% (

-0.07)

36.73% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.48% (

-0.07)

73.52% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Palermo 46.13%

Calcio Padova 26.91%

Draw 26.95%

Palermo	Draw	Calcio Padova
1-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.13%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.91%