Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 46.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.96% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.