Serie B
Dec 27, 2025 4.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 33' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 38' goal
  • Antonio Palumbo 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Jonas Harder 71'
  • yellowcard Pietro Fusi 90'+3'

Palermo vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 4.15pm
Avellino 2 - 2 Palermo
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 2.00pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 1 Sampdoria
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kevin Lasagna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 46.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.96% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Palermo 46.14% (+0.03)
Draw 26.96% (+0.02)
Calcio Padova 26.91% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.68% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.1% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 56.9% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 22.18% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 77.82% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 9.62% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 90.38% (+0.04)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 75.36% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.63% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.85% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.15% (+0.03)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 63.27% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 36.73% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 26.48% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 73.52% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Palermo 46.13%
Draw 26.95%
Calcio Padova 26.91%
Palermo
1-0 @ 12.67% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.88% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 46.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 9.05% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.95%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.91%