Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.28% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%) , while for a Avellino win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Avellino	Draw	Palermo
26.18% ( 0.06)	26.28% ( 0.02)	47.55% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.08% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18% (

-0.04)

54.82% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.88% (

-0.03)

76.12% (

0.03)

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.8% (

0.03)

36.21% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.01% (

0.03)

72.99% (

-0.02)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

-0.05)

23.06% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.1% (

-0.08)

56.9% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Avellino 26.18%

Palermo 47.54%

Draw 26.27%

Avellino	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.18%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.54%