Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Avellino had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Avellino win was 0-1 (10.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Avellino
36.47% ( 0.15)	27.4% ( -0.02)	36.13% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.04% (

0.06)

55.96% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.94% (

0.05)

77.06% (

-0.05)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56% (

0.12)

29.44% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.56% (

0.14)

65.44% (

-0.14)

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

-0.05)

29.64% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

-0.06)

65.69% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Bari 36.46%

Avellino 36.13%

Draw 27.4%

Bari	Draw	Avellino
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.46%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.13%