Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Calcio Padova win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Calcio Padova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (10.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Calcio Padova	Draw	Sampdoria
37.85% ( 0.01)	27.95% ( -0.01)	34.21% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.84% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.85% (

0.02)

58.15% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2% (

0.02)

78.81% (

-0.02)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

0.02)

29.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

0.02)

65.73% (

-0.02)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03% (

0.02)

31.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57% (

0.02)

68.43% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Calcio Padova 37.84%

Sampdoria 34.21%

Draw 27.95%

Calcio Padova	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.84%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.95%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.21%