Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 27, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Victor Osimhen 44' goal
  • Victor Osimhen 44' yellowcard
  • Wilfred Ndidi 50' goal
  • Semi Ajayi 56' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 67' goal
  • Stanley Nwabali 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Montassar Talbi 74'
  • goal Ali Abdi 87'

Nigeria vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 23, 2025 5.30pm
Nigeria 2 - 1 Tanzania

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 23, 2025 8.00pm
Tunisia 3 - 1 Uganda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.92% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Nigeria 46.52% (+0.46)
Draw 27.92% (+0.21)
Tunisia 25.55% (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.09% (-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.01% (-1.05)
Under 2.5 60.99% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 19.01% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 80.98% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 7.77% (-0.45)
Under 4.5 92.22% (+0.45)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 73.7% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 26.29% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 38.58% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 61.41% (+0.34)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 59.82% (-1.18)
Under 0.5 40.17% (+1.17)
Over 1.5 23.19% (-1.09)
Under 1.5 76.81% (+1.09)

Score analysis

Nigeria 46.52%
Draw 27.91%
Tunisia 25.55%
Nigeria
1-0 @ 14.11% (+0.45)
2-0 @ 9.43% (+0.24)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.2% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 46.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 10.56% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 27.91%
Tunisia
0-1 @ 9.63% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 25.55%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 23, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 20' yellowcard
  • Alex Iwobi 66' redcard
  • goal Youssef Msakni 47'
  • yellowcard Aissa Laidouni 53'
  • yellowcard Ellyes Skhiri 55'
International Friendlies
Oct 13, 2020 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 21' goal
  • Alex Iwobi 55' yellowcard
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hamza Rafia 10'
  • yellowcard Dylan Bronn 12'
  • yellowcard Farouk Ben Mustapha 28'
  • goal Mohamed Drager 44'
  • yellowcard Yassine Meriah 55'
  • yellowcard Wahbi Khazri 76'
  • yellowcard 84'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jul 17, 2019 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Al Salam Stadium, Cairo
  • Ghailene Chaalali 61' yellowcard
  • Rami Bedoui 92' yellowcard
  • goal Odion Ighalo 3'
  • yellowcard Wilfred Ndidi 18'

Build-up

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