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Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 27, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Tunisia national football team

Nigeria
vs.
Tunisia

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Nigeria and Tunisia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Nigeria
Tuesday, December 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Nigeria vs. Tanzania
Tuesday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Tunisia

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, November 18 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Tunisia vs. Uganda
Tuesday, December 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nigeria win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Tunisia has a probability of 32.59% and a draw has a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Tunisia win is 0-1 (10.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result
NigeriaDrawTunisia
39.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)28.28%32.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)59.58% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)79.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38%29.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)33.81% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.016000000000002 0.02)70.48% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 39.12%
    Tunisia 32.59%
    Draw 28.27%
NigeriaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 10.86%
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.59%

Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 7pm
Round of 16
Nigeria
0-1
Tunisia

Iheanacho (20')
Iwobi (66')
Msakni (47')
Laidouni (53'), Skhiri (55')
> Preview
Oct 13, 2020 7.30pm
Friendlies 1
Nigeria
1-1
Tunisia
Iheanacho (21')
Iwobi (55'), Iheanacho (78')
Drager (44')
Rafia (10'), Bronn (12'), Ben Mustapha (28'), Meriah (55'), Khazri (76'), (84')
> Preview
Jul 17, 2019 8pm
Third Place Playoff
Tunisia
0-1
Nigeria

Chaalali (61'), Bedoui (92')
Ighalo (3')
Ndidi (18')
> Match Report