Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.